Top Nominees 5 Candidates
Nominee Dossier
"...to those who, during the preceding year, shall have conferred the greatest benefit on mankind."
Each October, six committees end nearly a year of closed-door deliberation to name the people whose work moved science, letters, and peace forward. aifrednoble.com reads the open record — papers, prior honors, citations, and expert sentiment — to model who stands closest to that recognition this year.
Science's lighter cousin — awarded for research that "first makes people laugh, then makes them think" — left its usual Boston home after 35 years, with ten new winners honored by genuine Nobel laureates at a Swiss ceremony.
Read more →Medicine leads off October 5, followed by Physics (6th), Chemistry (7th), Literature (8th), and Peace (9th) — with Economic Sciences closing the week on the 12th. All six will broadcast live on the Nobel Prize's official channels.
Read the official schedule →On Polymarket's independent Nobel Peace Prize market, Yulia Navalnaya led at roughly 8.5¢ on the dollar, trailed by Volodymyr Zelenskyy (5.5¢) and UNRWA (4.2¢) — with no candidate above 10¢, underscoring how wide open the field really is. The Committee itself never confirms nominees.
Read more →With 287 candidates confirmed for this year's Peace Prize, Committee Secretary Kristian Berg Harpviken declined to confirm individual names — nominations stay confidential for 50 years — but acknowledged Trump is probably among them.
Read more →Weeks after winning the 2025 Peace Prize, María Corina Machado gave her gold medal to Trump at the White House as a personal gesture — the Committee clarified the honor itself stays tied to its laureate. Days later, Trump linked new tariff threats against Norway to his frustration at not winning himself.
Read the 2025 citation →